Friday, August 11, 2006

Notes On the Situation

-- Airline stocks are down. If you believe in the long-term profitability of the airline industry, now is a time to buy individual stocks or transport indexes.

-- Airlines operating out of Muslim countries may see increases in traffic or revenue on the perception that Al Queda isn't going to target Emirates or Royal Brunei or Malaysia or Qatar or similar airlines.

-- This might also be a time to make a bet on general aviation stocks. The more that high-revenue passengers are hassled or have to waste in line, the more sense it makes for their employers or clients to fly them out of general aviation airports in private planes.

-- If you're really concerned, book your international or transcontinental travel on Air Canada. You can reach many major cities in the world if you're willing to connect through Toronto or Montreal. Unfortunately, the same is not true for Aeromexico or Mexicana, both of which have limited international routes.

-- There's always Swissair.

-- The TSA's initial reaction is typical: sweeping, impractical, absolutist prohibitions which grossly burden ordinary travellers to achieve a negligible, if that, increase in immediate security.

-- The threat is to trans-Atlantic routes. Why ban fluids on regional jets running between Kansas City and Saint Louis?

-- An airline cabin is incredibly dry. The ban on carry-on water is unhealthy.

-- Does a large plane like a 747 have enough water on board for every passenger for a 12-hour trans-oceanic flight? Does a smaller jet like a 737 have enough water on board for every passenger for the five-hour transcontinental flights that smaller jets are increasingly tasked to fly?

-- Once the current ban is scaled back, expect airport retailers to sell "TSA-approved" liquids at an even higher price than currently charged.

-- A liquid isn't a type of matter. A liquid is a form of matter. A liquid could be turned into a solid for a limited period of time and later re-constituted as a liquid. Is the TSA going to ban solids?

-- A FlyerTalk poster noted that physicians write prescriptions for non-prescription substances and that your physician can write you a prescription for contact lens solution or something else you want to take on board. But note that the DHS guidance states that "medicines" are still allowed on board, not that anything subject to a "prescription" is.


Anonymous Tom said...

I agree. A bottle of water is an important part of a good flight. But do we need all the electronic trappings. Can't folks on a four-hour flight get by with a good book, an in-flight movie and, Heaven Forbid, a little conversation.

Keep writing Paul.

12:15 AM  
Anonymous LDK said...

I'm thinking about using an old idea drummed up by someone while I was at Aitreks to generate Google ad clicks. Would you forward a spoof website for "Naked Airlines - The Safest Way to Fly" to all your friends?

5:47 AM  
Blogger Paul Karl Lukacs said...

I'll post a link. E-mail me.

12:19 AM  

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